On Monday at LinuxCon 2009 I gave ten possible futures for the Linux desktop. Several articles have highlighted one or two or these, but here is the full list.
Of course I added a few spoken comments, but be certain of one thing: the Linux desktop is not to be discounted and, as I list as the fifth possibility, it could end up with sizable marketshare:
- It goes away.
- We stop using desktops, so who cares?
- The Linux desktop becomes a tactic instead of a strategy.
- One Linux desktop distribution ends up with 90% marketshare among those using Linux desktops.
- One Linux desktop distribution ends up with 90% marketshare among all desktops.
- We reach 33% / 33% / 33% parity with ® Windows® / ® Mac OS® / Linux, plus or minus.
- We stop pretending that it will be a drop-in replacement for the dominant desktop operating system, and make it something better.
- The enterprise sweet spot for Linux desktops is virtualized Linux desktops.
- We focus on usability, stability, security, reliability, performance, with some cool thrown in.
- It’s the browser, stupid.
Also see: Life with Linux: The series